Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 386.337321 438.971725 497.521362 567.724419 649.932261 743.531797 858.711940
2025-10-19 308.636327 377.539650 461.227557 571.347147 713.901230 894.230970 1142.846576
2025-10-26 258.273308 331.238792 425.060097 556.380555 738.398320 986.239816 1357.094872
2025-11-02 224.668815 299.049497 399.109559 546.312280 762.107470 1074.615071 1576.218435
2025-11-09 206.956412 284.764669 393.774783 561.598853 820.743833 1218.479913 1901.503671
2025-11-16 188.051703 265.988357 378.953581 559.695179 851.530826 1322.747212 2182.110658
2025-11-23 171.185002 248.006861 362.714573 552.599408 871.694258 1411.188954 2451.233574
2025-11-30 159.297748 236.059773 353.950732 555.567985 907.735184 1530.628085 2799.783232
2025-12-07 146.253009 220.941315 338.444620 545.134208 918.550822 1605.886765 3077.653984
2025-12-14 136.179453 209.531519 327.624155 541.068572 939.574949 1702.472026 3419.207644
2025-12-21 124.035625 193.692256 307.949605 519.089860 924.105373 1725.202199 3604.966356
2025-12-28 120.128453 191.104456 310.295149 536.830355 986.681676 1914.838143 4215.688874
2026-01-04 117.139998 189.946609 315.221704 560.408679 1065.393712 2155.339573 5023.234612
2026-01-11 111.186631 183.173801 309.573484 563.129674 1101.757065 2310.140172 5659.336221
2026-01-18 103.397078 172.529743 295.920922 548.452040 1098.684892 2373.278300 6063.710121
2026-01-25 96.992813 163.887982 285.229069 538.551224 1104.679355 2459.140138 6559.787239
2026-02-01 94.278585 161.749351 286.566829 553.581046 1169.314495 2703.122765 7617.139033
2026-02-08 89.763351 155.920824 280.286524 551.709420 1194.044137 2848.978394 8411.821981
2026-02-15 85.048149 149.380289 272.071937 544.732944 1205.422372 2961.255341 9133.452851
2026-02-22 81.765751 145.344761 268.506117 547.651646 1241.776747 3150.768338 10206.512165
2026-03-01 77.387550 138.892279 259.542619 537.392954 1243.027489 3239.164839 10932.156638
2026-03-08 73.944157 134.057502 253.546428 533.395379 1260.214809 3379.324823 11925.415089
2026-03-15 69.098865 126.149475 240.592830 511.783004 1227.240993 3358.080214 12233.861197